Tactical Investment Strategy July 2019
The main macro story for the second quarter has been that the Fed and the other major central banks have turned dovish in the face of a weakening global economy and trade concerns. This has bolstered risk markets, sent global rates falling, and is likely to be the trend for the near-term. This suggests staying risk-on in the near-term, but for investors, the difficult questions have yet to be answered. Namely, is this policy shift a temporary boost that will reverse the economic slowdown, or the beginning of a long easing cycle to manage us through a recession? Unfortunately, second quarter data has suggested the risk of the latter is growing. U.S. growth appears to be downshifting to a below-trend growth rate, bending under the weight of waning fiscal stimulus, global weakness, and the lagging effects of previous Fed tightening. At this late stage of the cycle and given the meaningful downside macro risks present, we stress the tactical nature of our outlook.
Featured Insights
Tactical ETF
Tactical ETF Performance Commentary 2Q19
This one-page report details what contributed to and detracted from performance for the Sage Tactical ETF Strategies in the second quarter.
Fixed Income
Fixed Income Perspectives July 2019
This presentation provides insight into our fixed income outlook and illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.
Fixed IncomeTactical ETF
Sage Advice Tactical ETF Quarterly Market Review 2Q2019
Going into the third quarter, the backdrop for equities appears tilted moderately positive for investors, with growth trends slowing, but recessionary concerns still on . . .