Tactical Investment Strategy — September 2023

September 18, 2023 — Tactical Investment Strategy provides an overview of key economic and policy themes and how Sage is tactically positioned in the current market environment.

Key Takeaways

  • US data has remained firm over the last several weeks, supporting risk assets and keeping some upward pressure on yields. The idea that the Fed will be able to orchestrate a soft landing has become entrenched as the base call, but we remain defensive in our positioning.
  • Risk assets do not appear correctly priced for the reality of an economic slowdown, an extended period of higher rates, or the risk that the landing is not as soft as expected.
  • For cash and short maturity investors, we believe now is the time to consider lengthening average durations as a hedge against weaker growth and to fully participate in the upside over the medium term.

  • DATE: September 18, 2023
  • TYPE: PDF
generic image

Featured Insights

generic image
Fixed Income

As Fed Tightening Risks Wane, Other Risks Emerge — Fixed Income Outlook in 5 Charts

September 14, 2023 -- A resilient labor market and slowing inflation suggests that the FOMC is done hiking rates. While the growth and inflation picture looks like a soft . . .

Learn more >

Fixed Income

“Navigating by the stars under cloudy skies” — Powell’s Comments at Jackson Hole

August 25, 2023 -- Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole was largely a confirmation of the Fed’s conundrum. Is the soft-landing economy with softening inflation scenario enough . . .

Learn more >

generic image
Fixed Income

The Case for Active Fixed Income Management

August 18, 2023 -- We’re currently in a pause period, where the Fed is weighing economic data to determine how much . . .

Learn more >