Inflation Expectations Hold Firm Amid Tariff Noise

May 13, 2025 — Despite the announcement of new tariffs, long-term inflation expectations—as measured by the 5y5y inflation rate—have remained stable. This rate, which reflects expected average inflation over a five-year period starting five years from now, is a key indicator of market sentiment on long-term inflation and is typically derived from TIPS or inflation swap markets.

generic image

Featured Insights

generic image
Fixed Income

The Two-Faced Economy: Strong Data Amid Shaky Sentiment

May 6, 2025 -- The current geopolitical climate has injected an extra dose of unpredictability for economic participants, as investment and consumption decisions for everyone...

Learn more >

generic image
Fixed Income

Fixed Income Perspectives — May 2025

May 5, 2025 -- This presentation provides an overview of our market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Learn more >

generic image
Fixed Income

The Ripple Effects of the US/China Trade Embargo

April 29, 2025 -- In an interview last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent characterized the trade situation with China as "unsustainable," pointing to possible relief...

Learn more >