Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — October 2024

October 8, 2024 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Themes

  • Municipal bonds continue to offer attractive after-tax income with limited risk.
  • Longer dated strategies offer the best option to maximize returns and minimize risk — but not for long.
  • Municipal spreads are fully valued but still offer acceptable income carry.

Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — September 2024

September 11, 2024 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Takeaways

  • Municipal bonds remain well positioned for relative outperformance
  • Longer dated strategies offer the best option to maximize returns and minimize risk
  • Municipal bonds remain strong and resilient, despite California’s fiscal issues

Municipal Fixed Income Investment Strategy, August 2024

August 9, 2024 — Sage provides an outlook for the municipal market, including our sector views and positioning and the key themes we are following.

Market Outlook

  • Despite the recent rally, municipal bonds offer attractive relative yields and provide a defensive posture if we enter an economic slowdown.
  • Late growth cycle periods that shift suddenly to an economic slowdown favor longer duration strategies, which enable the most optimal curve allocation as a barbell strategy can be full implemented.
  • Both general obligation and revenue sectors are solid from a fundamental credit standpoint as revenues remain elevated even as the overall economy begins to cool.

Municipal Fixed Income Investment Strategy, July 2024

July 17, 2024 — Sage provides an outlook for the municipal market in the second half of 2024, including our sector views and positioning and the key themes we are following.

Market Outlook

  • Municipals held up well in the second quarter versus comparable Treasuries, which has kept municipal/Treasury ratios on the richer side, and credit risk was well contained for most issuers.
  • Strong summer seasonals helped to drive both yields and spreads lower during June, which pushed year-to-date returns for the broad municipal market index back to a more palatable -0.40%. The municipal curve environment also began to normalize.
  • Despite some challenges we see for the second half, municipal issuers are expected to remain financially stable, and the market outlook remains cautiously optimistic.

Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — July 2024

July 15, 2024 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Takeaways

  • Municipal bonds continue to offer historically high levels of tax-free income.
  • Long duration strategies enable the most optimal curve allocation as a barbell strategy can be full implemented.
  • Both general obligation and revenue sectors are solid from a fundamental credit standpoint as revenues remain elevated despite a cooling economy.

 

Old School v. New School – Not All Tobacco Bonds Are the Same

June 20, 2024 — While the investment grade tobacco index has outperformed the municipal broad market index by almost 150 bps YTD through May, the high yield tobacco index has experienced significant underperformance relative to the high yield municipal index.