Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — January 2025

January 13, 2025 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Themes

  • Municipal income generation begins 2025 at near decade highs.
  • Consider locking in higher rates by adding duration in the steepest part of the yield curve.
  • Municipal credit metrics provide a solid foundation to overall asset allocation.

A Deep Dive on Prepaid Gas Bonds

December 19, 2024 — Prepaid gas bonds are the fastest growing sector in the Intermediate Municipal Bond Index. It continues to offer a significant yield pickup compared to index spreads without the credit risk that is synonymous with other higher beta sectors, such as healthcare, tobacco, and project finance.

Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — December 2024

December 5, 2024 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Themes

  • Municipal yields have most likely peaked and should grind tighter over 2025.
  • The time to extend duration is now, with longer dated strategies offering maximal risk-adjusted returns.
  • Investors can benefit from an early reallocation to municipal bonds to avoid the seasonal rush to market that occurs every January.

Municipal Fixed Income Investment Strategy, October 2024

October 14, 2024 — Sage provides an outlook for the municipal market, including our sector views and positioning and the key themes we are following.

Key Themes

  • The municipal market continues to be characterized by broad-based credit strength, positive direct and indirect fund flows, and an attractive after-tax yield environment.
  • Several seasonal factors will define the fourth quarter, contributing to varying levels of liquidity and the potential for short-term volatility swings.
  • Sage has a slightly long duration tilt for all our investment strategies, and if rates decline, Sage’s barbell allocation should mitigate the challenge of an inverted 2s5s yield curve while providing a better return profile.

Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — October 2024

October 8, 2024 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Themes

  • Municipal bonds continue to offer attractive after-tax income with limited risk.
  • Longer dated strategies offer the best option to maximize returns and minimize risk — but not for long.
  • Municipal spreads are fully valued but still offer acceptable income carry.

Municipal Fixed Income Perspectives — September 2024

September 11, 2024 — This presentation provides an overview of our municipal market outlook and key themes, and it illustrates how Sage is positioned in the current environment.

Key Takeaways

  • Municipal bonds remain well positioned for relative outperformance
  • Longer dated strategies offer the best option to maximize returns and minimize risk
  • Municipal bonds remain strong and resilient, despite California’s fiscal issues

Municipal Fixed Income Investment Strategy, August 2024

August 9, 2024 — Sage provides an outlook for the municipal market, including our sector views and positioning and the key themes we are following.

Market Outlook

  • Despite the recent rally, municipal bonds offer attractive relative yields and provide a defensive posture if we enter an economic slowdown.
  • Late growth cycle periods that shift suddenly to an economic slowdown favor longer duration strategies, which enable the most optimal curve allocation as a barbell strategy can be full implemented.
  • Both general obligation and revenue sectors are solid from a fundamental credit standpoint as revenues remain elevated even as the overall economy begins to cool.

Municipal Fixed Income Investment Strategy, July 2024

July 17, 2024 — Sage provides an outlook for the municipal market in the second half of 2024, including our sector views and positioning and the key themes we are following.

Market Outlook

  • Municipals held up well in the second quarter versus comparable Treasuries, which has kept municipal/Treasury ratios on the richer side, and credit risk was well contained for most issuers.
  • Strong summer seasonals helped to drive both yields and spreads lower during June, which pushed year-to-date returns for the broad municipal market index back to a more palatable -0.40%. The municipal curve environment also began to normalize.
  • Despite some challenges we see for the second half, municipal issuers are expected to remain financially stable, and the market outlook remains cautiously optimistic.