Notes from the Desk

California Residents Are Overpaying for In-State Municipal Bonds

California Residents Are Overpaying for In-State Municipal Bonds

February 18, 2026

California’s combination of the nation’s largest population of high-income earners and the highest state income tax rate has created strong demand for in state, tax exempt municipal bonds. While California only bond portfolios are often expected to enhance after tax income by capturing the state tax exemption, market dynamics have frequently undermined this benefit. In practice, California municipal bonds often deliver lower after-tax yields than comparable national alternatives.

Why In State Bonds Often Trade at a Premium

In an efficient market, in state and out of state municipal bonds should offer comparable tax adjusted returns. However, several technical factors have driven California bond yields below the economic value implied by the state tax exemption.

Demand is fueled not only by California residents seeking tax efficiency, but also by passive mutual funds and ETFs that must replicate the municipal bond index. California represents approximately 17% of Municipal Broad Market Index — the largest allocation of any state. Because these vehicles are not valuation sensitive, they consistently purchase California bonds to maintain index weights, regardless of relative yield.

This dynamic was evident during the week of February 9, 2026, when a AAA rated Santa Clara, California issuance priced roughly 20 basis points below a AAA rated Texas school district bond, even after adjusting the Texas bonds for California state taxes. This was not an isolated occurrence. An analysis of nearly 1,400 California municipal bonds showed that California bonds yielded less than comparable national alternatives more than two thirds of the time.

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More Efficient Alternatives

Many national municipal strategies out‑yield California‑only portfolios even after accounting for the state’s 13.3% top marginal tax rate. For investors who prefer some exposure to in‑state bonds, a California‑preferred approach — allocating roughly 50% to California issuers — can balance tax benefits with access to higher‑yielding out‑of‑state opportunities. This structure avoids forcing investors to purchase California bonds at levels that dilute the value of the state tax exemption.

Bottom Line

Although California‑specific municipal strategies are designed to enhance after‑tax income, technical market factors can erode — or eliminate — their expected advantage. Investors should consider national or state‑preferred approaches that may offer more efficient after‑tax returns.


Meet Our Authors

Jeff Timlin

Managing Partner

Brett Adelglass

Associate, Portfolio Management

Disclosures

This is for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security, strategy or investment product. Although the statements of fact, information, charts, analysis and data in this report have been obtained from, and are based upon, sources Sage believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and the underlying information, data, figures and publicly available information has not been verified or audited for accuracy or completeness by Sage. Additionally, we do not represent that the information, data, analysis and charts are accurate or complete, and as such should not be relied upon as such. All results included in this report constitute Sage’s opinions as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice due to various factors, such as market conditions. Investors should make their own decisions on investment strategies based on their specific investment objectives and financial circumstances. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

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